Higher Order Consequences

The Idea

Contributed by @philhagspiel |  Edited and curated by @philhagspiel

To think holistically, we need to consider not only the effects of our actions but also the effects of these effects.

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Taking Action
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Mental Models
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A highly interconnected world makes ripple effects appear everywhere. While thinking of potential consequences of our actions is important, very often, these consequences produce further consequences we should account for as good as possible.

Whether it's ecology, business, politics or our personal interactions with other people — comprehensive thinking requires to anticipate what our actions might create not only as an immediate result but as a result of these results.

"When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe."

— John Muir

"Never seize on the first available option, no matter how good it seems, before you’ve asked questions and explored."

— Ray Dalio

Explore

➞ Read this blog post for a thorough introduction to higher order thinking.

➞ For a slightly more technical take on it, check out this essay.

Resources

If this idea resonates with you, some of these resources might add value to your life.

MindVault Resources Master

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Predictably Irrational
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Dan Ariely

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Thinking Fast And Slow
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Factfulness
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VSI: Thinking & Reasoning
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Antifragility
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Skin In The Game
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Fooled By Randomness
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Principles
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59 Seconds - Think A Little Change A Lot
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Richard Wiseman

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The Great Mental Models (vol. 2)
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Shane Parrish

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The Great Mental Models (vol. 1)
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Enlightenment Now
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Steven Pinker

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21 Lessons For The 21st Century
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Yuval Noah Harari

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Modern Wisdom
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Chris Williamson

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David McRaney

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Eric Weinstein

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Lex Fridman Podcast
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Lex Fridman

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The “What Is Money?” Show
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Robert Breedlove

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The Knowledge Project
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Shane Parrish

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Stephen West

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Conversations With Tyler
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Tyler Cowen

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Hidden Brain
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Crash Course: Statistics
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Quanta Magazine
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Primer
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Paul Graham
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Paul Graham

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Farnam Street
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Lesswrong
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Untools.co
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Edge.org
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Check Out

Brilliant.org