Higher Order Consequences

The Idea

Contributed by @philhagspiel |  Edited and curated by @philhagspiel

To think holistically, we need to consider not only the effects of our actions but also the effects of these effects.

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Taking Action

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Mental Models

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A highly interconnected world makes ripple effects appear everywhere. While thinking of potential consequences of our actions is important, very often, these consequences produce further consequences we should account for as good as possible.

Whether it's ecology, business, politics or our personal interactions with other people — comprehensive thinking requires to anticipate what our actions might create not only as an immediate result but as a result of these results.

"When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe."

— John Muir

"Never seize on the first available option, no matter how good it seems, before you’ve asked questions and explored."

— Ray Dalio

Explore

➞ Read this blog post for a thorough introduction to higher order thinking.

➞ For a slightly more technical take on it, check out this essay.

Resources

If this idea resonates with you, some of these resources might add value to your life.

LinkNAMEFormatAuthor
Predictably Irrational
Book
Dan Ariely
Thinking Fast And Slow
Book
Daniel Kahnemann
Factfulness
Book
Hans Rosling
The Sovereign Individual
Book
James Dale Davidson
VSI: Thinking & Reasoning
Book
Jonathan Evans
Antifragility
Book
Nassim Taleb
Skin In The Game
Book
Nassim Taleb
Fooled By Randomness
Book
Nassim Taleb
Principles
Book
Ray Dalio
59 Seconds - Think A Little Change A Lot
Book
Richard Wiseman
The Great Mental Models (vol. 2)
Book
Shane Parrish
The Great Mental Models (vol. 1)
Book
Shane Parrish
Enlightenment Now
Book
Steven Pinker
21 Lessons For The 21st Century
Book
Yuval Noah Harari
Paul Graham
Blog
Paul Graham
Farnam Street
Blog
Shane Parrish
Lesswrong
Blog
Edge.org
Blog
Untools.co
Blog
The Systems Thinker
Blog
Modern Wisdom
Podcast
Christ Williamson
You Are Not So Smart
Podcast
David McRaney
The Portal
Podcast
Eric Weinstein
Lex Fridman Podcast
Podcast
Lex Fridman
The Knowledge Project
Podcast
Shane Parrish
Philosophize This!
Podcast
Stephen West
Conversations With Tyler
Podcast
Tyler Cowen
Philosophy For Our Times
Podcast
Hidden Brain
Podcast
Kurzgesagt
YouTube Channel
TED-ed
YouTube Channel
Crash Course: Statistics
YouTube Channel
3Blue1Brown
YouTube Channel
Quanta Magazine
YouTube Channel
Primer
YouTube Channel
Veritasium
YouTube Channel
Talks at Google
YouTube Channel
Vsauce
YouTube Channel
Brilliant.org
Courses